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Milepost
1358

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 11 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1357

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 16°F warmer

55°F in the 20261009T12:00Z run, 71°F in the 20261011T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 15Z in Boston, that trail runs from 54.6°F in the 20261009T12:00Z cycle to 71.0°F in the 20261011T06:00Z — a move of +16.4°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 15Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
16.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.4 °F normal 16.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1357 · laid 2026-10-11T16:25:15Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261011T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
67de291a8335ba3d44e7fefc6dcd09bc10120a64de6d13de1d9bcaf1840f50aa
Machine
JSON