Edition 2026-10-11 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1356

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 11 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1355

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 15°F warmer

54°F in the 20261009T06:00Z run, 70°F in the 20261011T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 15Z in Boston, that trail runs from 54.0°F in the 20261009T06:00Z cycle to 69.5°F in the 20261011T00:00Z — a move of +15.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 15Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
15.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.6 °F normal 15.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1355 · laid 2026-10-11T10:25:15Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261011T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
8346112e1d8fad2f9d517b7df6be1878100f0e6dd88160f9a5a67ab40804e243
Machine
JSON