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Milepost
1353

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 11 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1353

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 12°F warmer

55°F in the 20261009T00:00Z run, 67°F in the 20261010T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 15Z in Boston, that trail runs from 55.1°F in the 20261009T00:00Z cycle to 66.8°F in the 20261010T18:00Z — a move of +11.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 15Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.6 °F normal 11.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1353 · laid 2026-10-11T04:25:15Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261010T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
2268ebcf1b7880158db9b54c40e1af5e933b43d302b77485c549719c4a8506f3
Machine
JSON