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Milepost
1350

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 10 October 2026

New York, New York Revisions MILEPOST 1350

New York's forecast for Wednesday has moved 11°F warmer

62°F in the 20261008T18:00Z run, 73°F in the 20261010T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 18Z in New York, that trail runs from 62.1°F in the 20261008T18:00Z cycle to 72.8°F in the 20261010T12:00Z — a move of +10.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.6 °F normal 10.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1350 · laid 2026-10-10T22:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261010T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
dce8642f5d1649a0a709fc21efb3d0e6d293f562aca41583056aa3e0bb1b0250
Machine
JSON