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Milepost
1350

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 10 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1348

Boston's forecast for Wednesday has moved 13°F warmer

55°F in the 20261008T18:00Z run, 68°F in the 20261010T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 15Z in Boston, that trail runs from 55.3°F in the 20261008T18:00Z cycle to 67.9°F in the 20261010T12:00Z — a move of +12.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 15Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
12.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.4 °F normal 12.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1348 · laid 2026-10-10T22:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261010T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a37751e4629c79d58c3de9e2b436024a63f1f1689cfec6b42628ffd81e65f01e
Machine
JSON