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Milepost
1346

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 10 October 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1344

Dallas's forecast for Tuesday has moved 9°F warmer

63°F in the 20261008T18:00Z run, 72°F in the 20261010T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 20 at 06Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 63.0°F in the 20261008T18:00Z cycle to 72.1°F in the 20261010T00:00Z — a move of +9.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.4 °F normal 9.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1344 · laid 2026-10-10T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261010T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
b25d73543d4b0ae68cefc1b6b0adb71a9b62d6a72945121920a2fc83f6224c1c
Machine
JSON