Edition 2026-10-09 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1338

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 9 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1337

Minneapolis's forecast for Monday has moved 13°F warmer

56°F in the 20261007T12:00Z run, 70°F in the 20261009T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 56.3°F in the 20261007T12:00Z cycle to 69.6°F in the 20261009T06:00Z — a move of +13.4°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
13.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.8 °F normal 13.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1337 · laid 2026-10-09T16:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261009T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
8443181b8a553016db96cdb3b39db2e369d6784915e95c7fd6e7da91e097d73b
Machine
JSON