Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1336
Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 15°F warmer
69°F in the 20261007T12:00Z run, 84°F in the 20261009T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 13 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 68.8°F in the 20261007T12:00Z cycle to 83.9°F in the 20261009T06:00Z — a move of +15.1°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
15.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 10 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
20.9 °F | normal 15.1 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1336 · laid 2026-10-09T16:25:16Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261009T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- f8eb69d594b2e82f89b9b6ec6ff2ae9c1e6f230ba48af7870429edcd8e6d644b
- Machine
- JSON