Edition 2026-10-09 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1335

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 9 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1335

Nashville's forecast for Saturday has moved 10°F colder

77°F in the 20261007T06:00Z run, 67°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 10 at 18Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 76.6°F in the 20261007T06:00Z cycle to 66.6°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — a move of -10.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
10.4 °F normal 10.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1335 · laid 2026-10-09T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261009T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
c4c5b778d7d580b73582192a5923f7edf337f6167c848021747f0fa37f009f65
Machine
JSON