Edition 2026-10-09 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1335

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 9 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1334

Minneapolis's forecast for Monday has moved 12°F warmer

57°F in the 20261007T06:00Z run, 69°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 56.9°F in the 20261007T06:00Z cycle to 68.9°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — a move of +12.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
12 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
19.9 °F normal 12.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1334 · laid 2026-10-09T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261009T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
3b685f9f0cc3d5a908e4c808df2514907ce0013c89d07754ef1aed1e5f1b068b
Machine
JSON