Edition 2026-10-09 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1335

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 9 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1333

Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 14°F warmer

69°F in the 20261007T06:00Z run, 83°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 13 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 68.8°F in the 20261007T06:00Z cycle to 83.0°F in the 20261009T00:00Z — a move of +14.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
14.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
19.4 °F normal 14.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1333 · laid 2026-10-09T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261009T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
bc630c2713041214025717812845ff69097ca92d9c4d6f182d87ef809c6a4c9e
Machine
JSON