Edition 2026-10-09 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1331

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 9 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1331

Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 11°F warmer

73°F in the 20261007T00:00Z run, 84°F in the 20261008T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 13 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 72.8°F in the 20261007T00:00Z cycle to 83.6°F in the 20261008T18:00Z — a move of +10.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
19.6 °F normal 10.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1331 · laid 2026-10-09T04:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261008T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
31cad1d67f1fd6465b2d423baeea3529eee5806651fbb5bdf8e24a60a1ce1c9a
Machine
JSON