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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 133

November 2, 2023 Afternoon Update

Warming temperatures into weekend

What the month did

November 2023 was the 22nd-warmest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 44.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 43.0°F (+1.3°F).

November 2023 was the 12th-driest November in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.3in (-0.9in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Temperatures are slowly but surely moderating across the eastern 2/3 of the Lower 48 with 10-12°F below normal anomalies being winnowed away in the Southeast and East Coast. Florida cooled down into the 70s. Denver put the snowfall in the rear view mirror and is in the upper-60s. The warmest weather is in California and Arizona with widespread 70s and 80s. November before the winter rains in the Bay Area and Monterey [my home for 4-years] is absolutely perfect. You get rid of the pesky marine layer with offshore flow and warm up nicely. The summers are damp, foggy and way too cool.

Friday high temperatures: North Dakota is struggling to reach freezing as the effects of the polar vortex entrenched over Hudson Bay seem to be filtering into the upper-Midwest, and remaining cool into the weekend. The map is mostly yellow or 60°F+

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Milepost
133 · laid 2023-11-02T21:33:41.838000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/november-2-2023-afternoon-update
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