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Milepost
1328

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 8 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1328

Minneapolis's forecast for Monday has moved 9°F warmer

61°F in the 20261006T18:00Z run, 71°F in the 20261008T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 25°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 61.4°F in the 20261006T18:00Z cycle to 70.7°F in the 20261008T12:00Z — a move of +9.3°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
25.1 °F normal 9.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1328 · laid 2026-10-08T22:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261008T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
48f6de407a9e1465dba92ac1a5a53eeaf8ba4f72ed92ddeb83a6f9b10ba3b482
Machine
JSON