Edition 2026-10-08 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1327

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 8 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1326

Nashville's forecast for Saturday has moved 18°F colder

84°F in the 20261006T12:00Z run, 67°F in the 20261008T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 10 at 18Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 84.4°F in the 20261006T12:00Z cycle to 66.7°F in the 20261008T06:00Z — a move of -17.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-17.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.3 °F normal 17.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1326 · laid 2026-10-08T16:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261008T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
7e0331e4d937b829daeaa4a6205b24bc455389c6b5a7313b2d4ca7c01273bd34
Machine
JSON