Edition 2026-10-07 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1314

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1314

Nashville's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F colder

83°F in the 20261005T06:00Z run, 74°F in the 20261007T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 10 at 21Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 83.3°F in the 20261005T06:00Z cycle to 74.3°F in the 20261007T00:00Z — a move of -9.0°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.1 °F normal 9.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1314 · laid 2026-10-07T10:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261007T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
43be0f63928117306cf668fefffb4fe3369e7f570230498c986a31013c0b7a21
Machine
JSON