Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1307
Kansas City's forecast for Monday has moved 12°F warmer
72°F in the 20261004T12:00Z run, 83°F in the 20261006T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 71.7°F in the 20261004T12:00Z cycle to 83.2°F in the 20261006T06:00Z — a move of +11.5°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Monday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
11.5 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 10 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
20.7 °F | normal 11.5 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1307 · laid 2026-10-06T16:25:13Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261006T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- a139981b706a2fa641f994fc7f7a28f0a0403cc842c1354a91884134cf15a0ba
- Machine
- JSON