Dallas, Texas Revisions
MILEPOST 1306
Dallas's forecast for Thursday has moved 12°F warmer
63°F in the 20261004T12:00Z run, 74°F in the 20261006T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 10 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 15 at 12Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 62.8°F in the 20261004T12:00Z cycle to 74.4°F in the 20261006T06:00Z — a move of +11.6°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
11.6 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 10 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
20.7 °F | normal 11.6 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1306 · laid 2026-10-06T16:25:13Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261006T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 1f601bb0133511859bff171d2def38c3c373042e40200fed3b36f31dd6d27800
- Machine
- JSON