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Milepost
1302

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1302

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 8°F warmer

58°F in the 20261004T00:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261005T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 11 at 18Z in Boston, that trail runs from 58.0°F in the 20261004T00:00Z cycle to 66.3°F in the 20261005T18:00Z — a move of +8.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.8 °F normal 8.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1302 · laid 2026-10-06T04:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
1927139c45148b8076ad9f7de9b6b76c0190b2ddd743b1638061e2b24853db12
Machine
JSON