Edition 2026-10-06 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1302

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1301

Kansas City's forecast for Monday has moved 9°F warmer

72°F in the 20261004T12:00Z run, 81°F in the 20261005T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 71.7°F in the 20261004T12:00Z cycle to 81.0°F in the 20261005T18:00Z — a move of +9.4°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
19.3 °F normal 9.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1301 · laid 2026-10-06T04:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
79f74bf4dc0aacbeeed5d6d06b5067dd83f7ba7a9d9f3226c320444b691b41f2
Machine
JSON