Edition 2026-10-05 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1299

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 5 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1299

Boston's forecast for Monday has moved 7°F warmer

50°F in the 20261003T18:00Z run, 58°F in the 20261005T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 06Z in Boston, that trail runs from 50.5°F in the 20261003T18:00Z cycle to 57.8°F in the 20261005T12:00Z — a move of +7.4°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.5 °F normal 7.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1299 · laid 2026-10-05T22:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
1f3063e696b0b87ece5c61d53c0b5f6872751004d5210576256ebb8cd67a2c62
Machine
JSON