Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1298
Kansas City's forecast for Monday has moved 8°F warmer
72°F in the 20261004T12:00Z run, 80°F in the 20261005T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 71.7°F in the 20261004T12:00Z cycle to 79.6°F in the 20261005T12:00Z — a move of +7.9°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Monday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
7.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
18.5 °F | normal 7.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1298 · laid 2026-10-05T22:25:12Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 78ef9b81bf326ea28cda7ae4cdb21f42cdf63aba829afeb0f4603a56a41036e4
- Machine
- JSON