Edition 2026-10-05 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1296

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 5 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1295

Kansas City's forecast for Monday has moved 6°F warmer

72°F in the 20261004T12:00Z run, 78°F in the 20261005T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 23°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 71.7°F in the 20261004T12:00Z cycle to 78.0°F in the 20261005T06:00Z — a move of +6.3°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
6.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 2
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
22.7 °F normal 6.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1295 · laid 2026-10-05T16:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
48902d226fcd25913f8bcf7c62cc57763be6ecdba48994ae82a026bba02fb4f2
Machine
JSON