Edition 2026-10-05 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1294

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 5 October 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1293

Dallas's forecast for Friday has moved 7°F warmer

66°F in the 20261003T06:00Z run, 73°F in the 20261005T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 9 at 09Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 66.1°F in the 20261003T06:00Z cycle to 73.4°F in the 20261005T00:00Z — a move of +7.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 2
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.2 °F normal 7.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1293 · laid 2026-10-05T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261005T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e1f1a97fc766535652be066ab16c73468fc2edf03d95b6c0235f933f12982c0a
Machine
JSON