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Milepost
1292

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 5 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1292

Salt Lake City's forecast for Wednesday has moved 10°F colder

70°F in the 20261003T00:00Z run, 60°F in the 20261004T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 26°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, October 14 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 69.8°F in the 20261003T00:00Z cycle to 59.9°F in the 20261004T18:00Z — a move of -9.9°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
25.8 °F normal 9.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1292 · laid 2026-10-05T04:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261004T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
beeb4c89894f12d53c2f657c37836b250a519a8036a42d8e9a31acfeddb4ae65
Machine
JSON