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Milepost
1281

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1281

Salt Lake City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 9°F colder

70°F in the 20261002T06:00Z run, 61°F in the 20261003T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 28°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, October 13 at 18Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 69.7°F in the 20261002T06:00Z cycle to 60.7°F in the 20261003T12:00Z — a move of -9.0°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
27.8 °F normal 9.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1281 · laid 2026-10-03T22:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261003T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a9461ae97070b4362e9f2f2123f10298a0bdf93e252293961d5d3f9d7e0a710d
Machine
JSON