Dallas, Texas Revisions
MILEPOST 1279
Dallas's forecast for Friday has moved 13°F colder
92°F in the 20261001T18:00Z run, 80°F in the 20261003T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 9 at 21Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 92.2°F in the 20261001T18:00Z cycle to 79.6°F in the 20261003T12:00Z — a move of -12.6°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-12.6 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
12.8 °F | normal 12.6 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1279 · laid 2026-10-03T22:25:13Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261003T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 6300d2d4fadf90ffe2e1b9420636173805208a0ed3800b0cacce04cededbf4cb
- Machine
- JSON