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Milepost
1277

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1277

Salt Lake City's forecast for Monday has moved 10°F colder

75°F in the 20261001T06:00Z run, 65°F in the 20261003T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 75.4°F in the 20261001T06:00Z cycle to 65.4°F in the 20261003T00:00Z — a move of -9.9°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.8 °F normal 9.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1277 · laid 2026-10-03T10:25:11Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261003T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
20d1c2c1b16ff7da23416df0eaf77990dac2128b43a120ec2868642453fe4a75
Machine
JSON