Edition 2026-10-03 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1276

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1275

Denver's forecast for Monday has moved 9°F colder

72°F in the 20261001T06:00Z run, 63°F in the 20261002T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 31°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 18Z in Denver, that trail runs from 72.2°F in the 20261001T06:00Z cycle to 62.9°F in the 20261002T18:00Z — a move of -9.3°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
31.4 °F normal 9.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1275 · laid 2026-10-03T04:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
f50550a0a57bd97c5f5c840c07cc0174db845664898d6f5b0ba80a1850e4c371
Machine
JSON