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Milepost
1276

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1274

Salt Lake City's forecast for Monday has moved 11°F colder

77°F in the 20261001T00:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261002T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 22°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 00Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 76.9°F in the 20261001T00:00Z cycle to 65.7°F in the 20261002T18:00Z — a move of -11.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-11.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
22 °F normal 11.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1274 · laid 2026-10-03T04:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
16b36cd405145292022b678f54d69a9c00b5a869942ec59dc2f199fc24a9c8ad
Machine
JSON