Edition 2026-10-03 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1273

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1272

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 7°F warmer

66°F in the 20260930T18:00Z run, 72°F in the 20261002T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 10 at 18Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 65.8°F in the 20260930T18:00Z cycle to 72.3°F in the 20261002T12:00Z — a move of +6.5°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
6.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
19 °F normal 6.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1272 · laid 2026-10-02T22:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
cdf7f1209da17484cb4e24ae580f018b4329876274ad145a8cee4bb627f62226
Machine
JSON