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Milepost
1273

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 3 October 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1271

Salt Lake City's forecast for Monday has moved 7°F colder

73°F in the 20261001T06:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261002T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 24°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 18Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 72.9°F in the 20261001T06:00Z cycle to 66.3°F in the 20261002T12:00Z — a move of -6.7°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
23.5 °F normal 6.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1271 · laid 2026-10-02T22:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e9fc64a6a51aa273ede02fd66ef61d50ba9f9f2df7d70c0c1d8e8965a0074070
Machine
JSON