Edition 2026-10-02 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1270

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 2 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1270

Kansas City's forecast for Sunday has moved 8°F warmer

70°F in the 20260930T12:00Z run, 78°F in the 20261002T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 11 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 70.1°F in the 20260930T12:00Z cycle to 78.0°F in the 20261002T06:00Z — a move of +7.9°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.1 °F normal 7.9 °F
current run
Milepost
1270 · laid 2026-10-02T16:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
61a9ca12d2b23e600578a3f1f06ca6b99270517c27db7a89bf223171978c3577
Machine
JSON