Edition 2026-10-02 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1269

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 2 October 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1268

Dallas's forecast for Monday has moved 11°F warmer

76°F in the 20260930T12:00Z run, 87°F in the 20261002T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, October 12 at 00Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 76.0°F in the 20260930T12:00Z cycle to 87.3°F in the 20261002T00:00Z — a move of +11.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
11.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.8 °F normal 11.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1268 · laid 2026-10-02T10:25:11Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261002T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
8d245b33663f04f40302ed53c3146a1173d38d09486f11e6f1ac901bd8f8d8c3
Machine
JSON