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Milepost
1260

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 1 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1259

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 10°F warmer

54°F in the 20260930T06:00Z run, 64°F in the 20261001T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 21°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, October 11 at 18Z in Boston, that trail runs from 54.0°F in the 20260930T06:00Z cycle to 64.5°F in the 20261001T00:00Z — a move of +10.4°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
10.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
21.1 °F normal 10.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1259 · laid 2026-10-01T10:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261001T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
7934354897b364a068dc116ae656766e3fbaa7cf0befe1f0cecf4b813d9e56d9
Machine
JSON