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Milepost
1235

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 28 September 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1233

Nashville's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F warmer

75°F in the 20260926T06:00Z run, 83°F in the 20260928T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, October 3 at 00Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 74.6°F in the 20260926T06:00Z cycle to 83.3°F in the 20260928T00:00Z — a move of +8.7°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.7 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.8 °F normal 8.7 °F
current run
Milepost
1233 · laid 2026-09-28T10:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260928T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
3106d12434ee78c1cfc023d03ffe8d01027d6a43a441a1db0ca044dcb5280cbe
Machine
JSON