Edition 2026-09-28 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1232

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 28 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1232

Dallas's forecast for Thursday has moved 10°F colder

88°F in the 20260927T06:00Z run, 78°F in the 20260927T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 23°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 8 at 18Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 87.6°F in the 20260927T06:00Z cycle to 77.8°F in the 20260927T18:00Z — a move of -9.8°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
22.6 °F normal 9.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1232 · laid 2026-09-28T04:25:13Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260927T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
f2f7b4ae2eae0563b30798c8b71688cac1430da64c7391f20e091aef6ad75584
Machine
JSON