Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1195
Kansas City's forecast for Sunday has moved 8°F colder
84°F in the 20260921T12:00Z run, 76°F in the 20260923T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, September 27 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 83.8°F in the 20260921T12:00Z cycle to 75.8°F in the 20260923T18:00Z — a move of -7.9°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-7.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
12.6 °F | normal 7.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1195 · laid 2026-09-24T04:25:17Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260923T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 6ff47d7860aa61bf529f472fb58f6251da8aa0786b996b77d2e5a536be69e404
- Machine
- JSON