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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 119

October 12, 2023 Afternoon Update

Invest 94L looks more threatening

What the month did

October 2023 was the 23rd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 56.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+1.5°F).

October 2023 was the 62nd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.2in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Updated NWS rainfall [3-day] totals from the powerful storm system still range from 1-3” across a number of states from the Plains to the Mid-Atlantic.

The Plains storm is at full-tilt this evening. Pressure has fallen to 989 mb as the low tracks to the east across Nebraska with blustery conditions on the back side including some snow showers. A couple weeks later and there would be enough cold air to crank a blizzard out of this strong storm.

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Milepost
119 · laid 2023-10-12T20:43:58.379000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/october-12-2023-afternoon-update
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