Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1188
Kansas City's forecast for Friday has moved 6°F warmer
70°F in the 20260921T00:00Z run, 77°F in the 20260923T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, September 25 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 70.2°F in the 20260921T00:00Z cycle to 76.7°F in the 20260923T00:00Z — a move of +6.5°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
6.5 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
14 °F | normal 6.5 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1188 · laid 2026-09-23T10:25:25Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260923T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- c7b01a79f9c5494f54a2bc9a410ef5b84630c6a097b2ba59e224aaa95129dd70
- Machine
- JSON