Edition 2026-09-23 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1185

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1185

Dallas's forecast for Friday has moved 8°F warmer

68°F in the 20260921T00:00Z run, 76°F in the 20260922T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, October 2 at 12Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 67.7°F in the 20260921T00:00Z cycle to 75.8°F in the 20260922T18:00Z — a move of +8.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
18.2 °F normal 8.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1185 · laid 2026-09-23T04:25:16Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260922T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
28b5318c6985b194bc41f98453f965dd433df8f65f36648e5b3f6d811a1afeb6
Machine
JSON