Edition 2026-09-22 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1179

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1178

Dallas's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F warmer

82°F in the 20260920T12:00Z run, 91°F in the 20260922T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 1 at 18Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 81.7°F in the 20260920T12:00Z cycle to 90.9°F in the 20260922T06:00Z — a move of +9.2°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.4 °F normal 9.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1178 · laid 2026-09-22T17:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260922T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a142f124a01bd5dbf93562a6bf34acd4ec4a7fe43ecdb82db8c666bf7841d3b4
Machine
JSON