Edition 2026-09-22 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1175

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1175

Dallas's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F colder

92°F in the 20260920T06:00Z run, 82°F in the 20260921T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 20°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 1 at 18Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 91.5°F in the 20260920T06:00Z cycle to 82.5°F in the 20260921T18:00Z — a move of -9.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
20.3 °F normal 9.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1175 · laid 2026-09-22T04:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260921T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
28b0c780a94a3fa75aa6f6586c52015aa9d28ca8424b2b4dcfae764980ed98c0
Machine
JSON