Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1153
Kansas City's forecast for Thursday has moved 6°F colder
73°F in the 20260918T00:00Z run, 66°F in the 20260919T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, September 24 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 72.6°F in the 20260918T00:00Z cycle to 66.3°F in the 20260919T18:00Z — a move of -6.3°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-6.3 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 4 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
11.7 °F | normal 6.3 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1153 · laid 2026-09-20T10:25:16Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260919T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 23236dc45c47ffe71accc46924eaa2bd8a8bb075e47c3455bc0b76bb3633d8ad
- Machine
- JSON