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Milepost
1150

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 20 September 2026

Seattle, Washington Revisions MILEPOST 1148

Seattle's forecast for Friday has moved 7°F colder

69°F in the 20260918T00:00Z run, 61°F in the 20260919T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 8°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, September 25 at 00Z in Seattle, that trail runs from 68.6°F in the 20260918T00:00Z cycle to 61.1°F in the 20260919T18:00Z — a move of -7.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-7.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
7.8 °F normal 7.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1148 · laid 2026-09-20T04:25:19Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260919T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a2b92e9d6a5a3e1f50d746a2a70a5c2d04fb40bd5874adbd1450d02cb7e2168d
Machine
JSON