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Milepost
1124

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 17 September 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1123

Minneapolis's forecast for Wednesday has moved 9°F colder

69°F in the 20260915T18:00Z run, 59°F in the 20260917T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, September 23 at 00Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 68.7°F in the 20260915T18:00Z cycle to 59.4°F in the 20260917T12:00Z — a move of -9.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
8.9 °F normal 9.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1123 · laid 2026-09-17T22:25:17Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260917T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
807480c604c82d3fc301f59a00767bdb040601679334333c762f6c99e95e78e0
Machine
JSON