Edition 2026-09-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1110

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Salt Lake City, Utah Revisions MILEPOST 1110

Salt Lake City's forecast for Saturday has moved 11°F colder

79°F in the 20260914T18:00Z run, 68°F in the 20260916T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 21Z in Salt Lake City, that trail runs from 79.2°F in the 20260914T18:00Z cycle to 68.4°F in the 20260916T12:00Z — a move of -10.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
5.9 °F normal 10.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1110 · laid 2026-09-16T22:25:14Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260916T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
5e13cc801bbc790bdb3874b6b2ad7d1bac426e5e01846e78db32558c0e8136b5
Machine
JSON