Edition 2026-09-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1108

Nashville's forecast for Monday has moved 9°F warmer

87°F in the 20260914T12:00Z run, 96°F in the 20260916T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, September 21 at 21Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 87.2°F in the 20260914T12:00Z cycle to 96.0°F in the 20260916T06:00Z — a move of +8.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.1 °F normal 8.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1108 · laid 2026-09-16T16:25:15Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260916T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
c20525e8fd18e5375e8a10db77f9cb21b617f1342efaafeda911a914d22e6541
Machine
JSON