New York, New York Revisions
MILEPOST 1100
New York's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F colder
70°F in the 20260913T18:00Z run, 62°F in the 20260915T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 9°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 12Z in New York, that trail runs from 70.2°F in the 20260913T18:00Z cycle to 62.4°F in the 20260915T12:00Z — a move of -7.8°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-7.8 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
9.4 °F | normal 7.8 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1100 · laid 2026-09-15T22:25:16Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20260915T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 32beffce21cc6b7d425b18bc8f402975d3fe430998b9b78906c8cc1b3597c456
- Machine
- JSON