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Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1087

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F warmer

54°F in the 20260912T12:00Z run, 64°F in the 20260914T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, September 19 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 54.4°F in the 20260912T12:00Z cycle to 63.7°F in the 20260914T12:00Z — a move of +9.2°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.4 °F normal 9.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1087 · laid 2026-09-14T22:25:12Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20260914T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e4d373fc685c55fcd0e3a4bb950a8d63019680a984d98f19a7cc3baf1b1f9c6b
Machine
JSON